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November 25, 2013

Iran nuclear deal

The recent accord reached in Geneva between the six world powers and Iran is a solid step forward in US-Middle Eastern relations. However, the agreement is of an interim nature. In other words, both sides have agreed to certain conditions - Iran dials down its nuclear program somewhat for a slight easing of sanctions - with the understanding that negotiations will recommence in six months. Basically, everything hangs in the balance.

Interesting to note are the different responses in Israel. While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's melodramatics are as well known as they are farcical, the Christian Science Monitor reported on the more serious thinking going on within Israeli military intelligence:

According to an unclassified assessment shared by a senior Israeli officer, military intelligence is focused on the implications of a potential compromise between Iran and the P5+1 (the US, Britain, France, Russia, China, and Germany). ... 
 In the background briefing with foreign journalists ... the intelligence officer said Iran was one of several countries that could buck the general turmoil across the region. 
"We see a bit of a possibility, although it's quite problematic, of more … stability," said the officer, who spoke on the basis of anonymity. But that is dependent on the success of negotiations "over the nuclear project, but more than that, over the relief of the sanctions on the Iranian economy," he said.

This language of increased stability being used by Israel's intelligence establishment belies the usual message coming from its political leadership. A small bit of journalism can always help put things in perspective.

Most Americans, by over 60 percent, approve of an interim agreement with Iran (and with over 70 percent being in favor of negotiations with Iran in the first place). Most Republicans in Congress (and some Democrats), however, hold a position closer to that of Israel's leaders.

Were the polling data used to guide the legislative process, the United States would become more civilized in a single day.

"Israeli military goes off message":
http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Security-Watch/2013/1121/Israeli-military-goes-off-message-on-Iran-nuclear-talks-video

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